Will Home Prices Decline In 2022

Dated: December 20 2021

Views: 711

What Everyone Wants To Know: Will Home Prices Decline in 2022?


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If you’re thinking of buying a home in the Tampa Bay housing market, you may be wondering how strong your investment will be. You might be asking yourself: if I buy a home now, will it lose value? Or will it continue to appreciate going forward? The good news is, according to the experts, home prices are not projected to decline in 2022. Here’s why:


With home buyers still outweighing sellers, home prices in Florida and around the country are forecasted to continue climbing in 2022, just at a slower or more moderate pace than what we experienced in 2021. Why the continued increase? It’s the simple law of supply and demand. When there are fewer items on the market than there are buyers, the competition for that item makes prices naturally rise. In Pinellas County, FL for example, we still have LESS than one month of housing inventory available vs 5-6 months of inventory a normal housing market would require. With these numbers in mind, it's easy to see why local experts expect the Pinellas County housing market to appreciate another 8%-12% in 2022. 


And while the number of homes for sale today is expected to improve in the beginning of 2022 with more sellers getting ready to list their houses this winter, we’re certainly not out of the inventory woods yet (aka we need5-6 times MORE inventory than what we have now just to get into a balanced housing market). Thus, the projections show continued appreciation, but at a more moderate rate than what we’ve seen over the past year.


Here’s a look at the latest 2022 expert forecasts on home price appreciation:What Everyone Wants To Know: Will Home Prices Decline in 2022? | MyKCMWhat’s the biggest takeaway from this graph? None of the major experts are projecting depreciation in 2022. They’re all showing an increase in home prices next year.


And here’s what some of the industry’s experts say about how that will play out in the housing market next year:


Brad Hunter of Hunter Housing Economics explains:

“. . . the recent unsustainable rate of home price appreciation will slow sharply. . . . home prices will not decline. . . but they will simply rise at a more sustainable pace.”

Danielle Hale from realtor.com agrees:

Price growth is expected to move back toward a normal range, but this is on top of recent high prices, . . . So prices will [still] hit new highs. . . . The pace of price growth is going to slow notably . . . ”

What Does This Mean for the Housing Market?


While home price appreciation is expected to continue around the Tampa Bay area well into 2022, it isn’t projected to be the record-breaking 18 to almost 20% increase the average housing market saw over the past 12 months. Overall, it’s important to note that price increases won’t be as monumental as they were in 2021 – but they certainly won’t decline anytime soon.

What Does That Mean for You?


With motivated buyers in the market and so few homes available to purchase, the imbalance of supply and demand will continue to put upward pressure on home prices in 2022. And when home price appreciation is in the forecast, that’s a clear indication your investment in homeownership is a sound one.

Bottom Line


It’s important to know that home prices are not projected to decline in the new year. Instead, they’re forecast to rise, just at a more moderate pace. Let’s connect to make sure you’re up to date on what’s happening with home price appreciation in our market, so you can make an informed decision about your next move. Call or text us at (727) 400-3315 so we can build a plan to help you meet all your real estate goals in 2022. 


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Gabriele Spinuso

Gabe has been a resident of Seminole and the surrounding Gulf Beaches his entire life. His vast market knowledge of many of the trendiest Downtown and Beach subdivisions in Pinellas County is simply u....

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